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Auswirkungen in 2022

Ministry of Economy prepared a macro-forecast for 2022-2025
17.05.2022 | The main indicators of the forecast of the Ministry of Economic Development are as follows:
Russia's economy will have the biggest downturn in the third quarter of 2022;
according to data from May and April, there are risks of a cyclical crisis in Russia;
Russia's trade surplus will rise to $230 bln. in 2022
the inflation forecast for 2022 is 17,5%, for 2023 - 6,1%
unemployment will peak in Q3 2022
the decline in fixed capital investment in Russia will reach 19.4% in 2022
retail trade will drop by 8,7%
the decline of the services market will be 7.9%
the decline of GDP in 2022 is projected at 7.8%, and in 2023 at 0.7%; but GDP growth in 2024 is projected to be 3.2%; in 2024, 2.6%
exports of goods in real terms are projected to decline by 14% in 2022, in nominal terms by 2%
average annual U.S. dollar exchange rate in 2022 is expected to reach 76.7 rubles/$, by the end of the year the currency will grow to 76 rubles/$
the average Urals oil price in 2022 will be $80.1, it is expected to decrease starting 2023
For the first time in modern history, the Russian economy is entering a recession at a high level of world commodity prices. The Central Bank predicts that the 2022 crisis is one of the most serious challenges for Russia since the 1990s.


Und das ist das Ministerium