Zitat:
Zitat von LidlRacer
Der hat nicht nur ne Putin-Brille sondern ist quasi Lobbyist für Russland.
Habe mit Entsetzen ein übertrieben langes Interview bei Tagesschau24 gesehen.
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Wenn Dir die Einschätzung von General a.D. Kujat nicht gefällt, könnte ich Dir die strategischen Empfehlungen eines sehr bekannten, seriösen USA-Think-Tank, der Rand-Organisation empfehlen. Diese sind sehr interessant, zumal sie aus dem Jahr 2019 stammen, und wo man quasi im nachhinein wie in einem Drehbuch verfolgen kann, wie in der Zwischenzeit in den verschiedenen Regionen der Welt die USA gegenüber Russland agiert hat. Ich zitiere, weil es sehr umfangreich ist, als kleiner Eindruck nur mal eine Auswahl weniger Kapitelüberschriften der 354 S. langen Strategieempfehlungen:
Geopolitical Measures:
Measure 1: Provide Lethal Aid to Ukraine
Measure 2: Increase Support to the Syrian Rebels
Measure 3: Promote Regime Change in Belarus
Measure 4: Exploit Tensions in the South Caucasus
Measure 5: Reduce Russian Influence in Central Asia
Measure 6: Challenge Russian Presence in Moldova
Recommendations
Zitat:
Geopolitical Measures:
Likelihood of Success
Eastern Ukraine is already a significant drain on Russian resources, exacerbated by the accompanying Western sanctions. Increasing U.S. military aid would certainly drive up the Russian costs, but doing so could also increase the loss of Ukrainian lives and territory or result in a disadvantageous peace settlement. This would generally be seen as aserious setback for U.S. policy.
Conclusion
The option of expanding U.S. military aid to Ukraine has to be evaluated principally on whether doing so could help end the conflict in the Donbass on acceptable terms rather than simply on costs it imposes on Moscow. Boosting U.S. aid as part of a broader diplomatic strategy to advance a settlement might well make sense, but calibrating the level of assistance to produce the desired effect while avoiding a damaging counter-escalation would be challenging.
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"This report documents research and analysis conducted as part of the RAND Corporation research project Extending Russia: Competing
from Advantageous Ground, sponsored by the Army Quadrennial Defense Review Office, Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff G-8, Headquarters, Department of the Army. The purpose of the project was to examine a range of possible means to extend Russia. By this, we mean nonviolent measures that could stress Russia’s military or econ-
omy or the regime’s political standing at home and abroad. The steps we posit would not have either defense or deterrence as their prime purpose, although they might contribute to both. Rather, these steps are conceived of as measures that would lead Russia to compete in domains or regions where the United States has a competitive advantage, causing Russia to overextend itself militarily or economically or causing the regime to lose domestic and/or international prestige and influence. This report deliberately covers a wide range of military, economic, and political policy options. Its recommendations are directly relevant to everything from military modernization and force posture to economic sanctions and diplomacy; consequently, it speaks to all
the military services, other parts of U.S. government that have a hand in foreign policy, and the broader foreign and defense policy audience."
Wäre es Dir lieber, wenn tagesschau24 aus diesem Report berichtet, der, was seine Intention betrifft, auch im kalten Krieg hätte verfasst werden können bzw. die Leitlininien aus dieser Zeit übernimmt, und eigentliche nicht in eine Zeit einer globalen wirtschaftlichen Kooperation zwischen Weltmächten (USA) und Regionalmächten (Russland) und der EU gehört.
Ps. Kujat, aber auch Ischinger kennen diesen Report bestimmt.
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